Funds Flow, Market Return and Retail Investors Risk

Document Type : applied

Authors

1 Assistant Prof., Finance Department, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran.

2 Department of Financial Management, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

There are different types of investors in mutual fund market that rely on different information, therefore the relationship between fund flows and market returns is different among various groups of investors. The aim of this study is to explain how the relationship between equity fund flow and market returns of the Tehran Stock Exchange based on the risk-taking of retail and institutional fund investors during the period 1387 to 1396. We used ordinary least squares regression (OLS) and seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) models for a sample of 101 equity mutual fund. The results of the retail fund sample indicate that feedback trading; ie, 1 percent increase in stock market returns led to a 2.84 percent increase in fund flows and this indicates a risk for retail investors in the short-term. In contrast, there is a few evidence of a relation between fund flow and market returns for the institutional funds. Also, no evidence found about the flow to be Inducer price pressure in the stock market.
JEL: G10, G20, G23
How to cite this paper: Nikusokhan, M., & Osoolian, M. (2017). Funds Flow, Market Return and Retail Investors Risk. Quarterly Journal of Risk Modeling and Financial Engineering, 2(1), 115 –132. (In Persian)

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Journal of Risk modeling and Financial Engineering
Volume 2, Issue 1 - Serial Number 3
March 2017
Pages 115-132

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